Steve Rosenberg: Russia seeks diplomatic and economic gains from Iran war
Steve Rosenberg: Russia seeks diplomatic and economic gains from Iran war
In the past week, two diplomatic calls have taken place between Russian and Iranian leaders. Amid ongoing US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Russian President Vladimir Putin has positioned himself as a global mediator. Yet, this image faces scrutiny, given his role in the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, which the UN General Assembly condemned as a breach of the UN Charter.
Russia and Iran maintain a “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership,” though it lacks a mutual defense commitment. Putin recently emphasized his desire to mediate the Iran conflict, citing engagement with Gulf state leaders and other regional figures. This move aims to bolster Moscow’s influence in the Middle East and enhance its standing with Washington, despite the ongoing war in Ukraine.
Putin’s diplomacy also serves economic interests. Recent oil price spikes, reaching nearly $120 a barrel, have revitalized Russian revenue streams. The country’s budget relies on oil exports at $59 per barrel, and sustained high prices support continued funding for the Ukraine war. Trump’s proposal to ease sanctions on certain nations further aligns with Moscow’s goals, potentially increasing its financial gains.
“Putin wants to be helpful,” said Trump after his call with the Russian leader. “I said, ‘You could be more helpful by getting the Ukraine-Russia war over with. That would be more helpful.'”
While the Kremlin promotes “deescalation” in Iran, the conflict offers additional leverage. Pro-Kremlin outlets like Komsomolskaya Pravda argue that expensive oil could persuade the West to lift sanctions. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that eased sanctions would “be a serious blow” to Kyiv.
Some Russian newspapers have criticized Trump’s approach. One tabloid declared, “The ‘peace president’ has simply lost his mind,” while another mocked him as “The Emperor has no clothes. Or rather, no sanity.” Despite these internal critiques, Moscow’s broader strategy remains focused on balancing diplomacy and economic advantage.
